Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.001691 0.001800 0.001913 0.002039 0.002175 0.002318 0.002480
2025-01-26 0.001472 0.001619 0.001777 0.001961 0.002168 0.002396 0.002667
2025-02-02 0.001396 0.001576 0.001775 0.002013 0.002292 0.002611 0.003004
2025-02-09 0.001331 0.001533 0.001763 0.002047 0.002389 0.002791 0.003304
2025-02-16 0.001307 0.001533 0.001798 0.002131 0.002545 0.003045 0.003704
2025-02-23 0.001245 0.001483 0.001766 0.002131 0.002593 0.003167 0.003942
2025-03-02 0.001161 0.001400 0.001689 0.002068 0.002558 0.003178 0.004035
2025-03-09 0.001096 0.001338 0.001633 0.002027 0.002545 0.003214 0.004159
2025-03-16 0.001055 0.001302 0.001608 0.002023 0.002578 0.003309 0.004364
2025-03-23 0.001009 0.001257 0.001570 0.001999 0.002583 0.003364 0.004516
2025-03-30 0.000972 0.001223 0.001543 0.001987 0.002601 0.003438 0.004695
2025-04-06 0.000929 0.001179 0.001501 0.001953 0.002587 0.003464 0.004806
2025-04-13 0.000891 0.001142 0.001470 0.001938 0.002605 0.003546 0.005020
2025-04-20 0.000832 0.001076 0.001398 0.001864 0.002537 0.003501 0.005040
2025-04-27 0.000822 0.001075 0.001414 0.001913 0.002647 0.003723 0.005486
2025-05-04 0.000807 0.001066 0.001418 0.001944 0.002733 0.003913 0.005895
2025-05-11 0.000808 0.001080 0.001455 0.002024 0.002894 0.004226 0.006527
2025-05-18 0.000784 0.001057 0.001438 0.002023 0.002932 0.004349 0.006850
2025-05-25 0.000745 0.001011 0.001384 0.001964 0.002877 0.004319 0.006908
2025-06-01 0.000713 0.000975 0.001345 0.001926 0.002851 0.004333 0.007043
2025-06-08 0.000694 0.000955 0.001329 0.001922 0.002879 0.004438 0.007347
2025-06-15 0.000670 0.000929 0.001302 0.001900 0.002876 0.004490 0.007556
2025-06-22 0.000651 0.000908 0.001282 0.001888 0.002891 0.004572 0.007827